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Subject: [Fwd: Carnegie Mellon Disaster Mgt Workshop in the News 3/26/2010]
HI Folks,
Just wanted to pass along the little bit of press the event last Friday
at Carnegie Mellon University Silicon Valley managed to score. I don't
want to downplay it too much, though we certainly need more all around,
but at least it is something in the face of the incessant babbling of
the daily news.
However, the truly hopeful aspect of Friday's event was the fact that it
grew so rapidly from a planned 40 attendees to over a hundred, and the
keynote was given by Matthew Bettenhausen, Secretary of the California
Emergency Management Agency (CalEMA), the consolidation of the former
State of California Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES) and the
California Dept. of Homeland Security (Cal DHS), and Senator Diane
Feinstein's office attended, too. After previously gathering support
from Google, this event also saw Cisco and Intel attend, with Cisco
showing off its mobile Network Emergency Response Vehicle (NERV). I had
been angling to get NASA's Nebula Cloud capability and its mobile
command center involved, but Cisco's small fleet of NERVs look like a
better bet.
Regardless, there was a kind of energy I hadn't seen since before the
web exploded. Too bad all the grad students were from India, SE Asia and
South America, with a couple of exceptions. However, the quality of
thinking about how to apply IT is what matters, and that was excellent.
Cheers,
Rex
-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Fwd: Carnegie Mellon in the News -- CyBlog -- 3/26/2010
Date: Tue, 30 Mar 2010 01:29:38 -0400
From: ibcomm@aol.com
To: rexb@starbourne.com, [email protected], [email protected],
bobsmithttl@gmail.com, [email protected],
jim_wollbrinck@sjwater.com, [email protected],
xirias@ebmud.com, [email protected], [email protected], [email protected],
will@twiki.net
References:
<E3C09DE59063DF4AB058336DFC9B254106D425@radagast.press1.pressresults.com>
<2988e4d91003292154w472b5666p9d47bbed40cc3958@mail.gmail.com>
FYI,
David C.
-----Original Message-----
From: Wendy Fong <wendy.fong@west.cmu.edu>
To: Bob Dolci <bdolci@mail.arc.nasa.gov>; PATRICK LANTHIER
<patlan@pacbell.net>; David Coggeshall <[email protected]>;
<steve.r.ray@sv.cmu.edu> <steve.r.ray@sv.cmu.edu>; Brown Charles
<cbrown@flyingcircuit.com>
Cc: Richard G Power <richardpower@cmu.edu>
Sent: Mon, Mar 29, 2010 9:54 pm
Subject: Fwd: Carnegie Mellon in the News -- CyBlog -- 3/26/2010
Thanks to Richard Power for his article about our workshop! .. Wendy
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: *TECHMarketNews* <news@techmarket.com <mailto:news@techmarket.com>>
Date: Mon, Mar 29, 2010 at 5:21 PM
Subject: Carnegie Mellon in the News -- CyBlog -- 3/26/2010
To: Jeannie Stamberger <jeannie.stamberger@gmail.com
<mailto:jeannie.stamberger@gmail.com>>, Martin Griss
<martin.griss@sv.cmu.edu <mailto:martin.griss@sv.cmu.edu>>, Nichole
Dwyer <nichole.dwyer@sv.cmu.edu <mailto:nichole.dwyer@sv.cmu.edu>>,
Sylvia Leong <sylvia.leong@sv.cmu.edu <mailto:sylvia.leong@sv.cmu.edu>>,
Wendy Fong <wendy.fong@sv.cmu.edu <mailto:wendy.fong@sv.cmu.edu>>
Cc: Amy Louie <alouie@techmarket.com <mailto:alouie@techmarket.com>>,
Cara Porchia <cara.porchia@gmail.com <mailto:cara.porchia@gmail.com>>,
Dottie O'Rourke <dorourke@techmarket.com
<mailto:dorourke@techmarket.com>>, Irene Chun <[email protected]
<mailto:ichun@techmarket.com>>, Steve Wright
<steve.wright@techmarket.com <mailto:steve.wright@techmarket.com>>,
Susan D'Elia <susan.delia@techmarket.com
<mailto:susan.delia@techmarket.com>>
Not a Moment to Soon ... Carnegie Mellon Silicon Valley Launches
Disaster Management Initiative
<http://www.cyblog.cylab.cmu.edu/2010/03/sv.html>
Friday, March 26, 2010
__http://www.cyblog.cylab.cmu.edu/2010/03/sv.html__
Indian Ocean Earthquake and Tsunami (2004)
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_Ocean_tsunami>
<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_rYmyTznv1Xo/S7EEY8gfrTI/AAAAAAAAAgM/_shTggAYnJM/s1600/tsunami-bayofbengal.jpg>/All
of the major cities of the West Coast of the //United States// are at
risk from earthquakes similar to what just happened in //Chile//. The
largest possible earthquake in //California// would be just above
magnitude 8. But millions of people would be right on top of the shaking
... When we have a large earthquake, we will face issues similar to what
is happening in Chile right now ... The long duration of shaking in the
largest earthquakes have a bigger impact on bridges, pipelines and large
structures. Loss of utilities can last for months because the damage is
so extensive that the only solution is to create a completely new system
... Without utilities and with damage to a million buildings,
businesses, especially small businesses, cannot reopen and the economic
consequences continue to grow. /Lucy Jones, U.S.G.S., *"*Are We Prepared
for an 8.8 Quake?," New York Times, 3-29-10
<http://roomfordebate.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/01/are-we-prepared-for-an-8-8-quake/?hp>
*Not a Moment to Soon ... Carnegie Mellon Silicon Valley Launches
Disaster Management Initiative**
*By Richard Power <http://www.cylab.cmu.edu/about/bio_power.html>**
Information and information systems have a pivotal role in crisis and
catastrophe; not only are they highly vulnerable to such disruptions,
but they are also vital to crisis management, business continuity and
disaster recovery. And today, you have to factor in even more
complexity, because dynamic, new elements such as social media, smart
phones and crowd-sourcing not only offer the opportunity to empower the
populace to participate in recovery and relief efforts, they also
confront emergency response planners with the challenge of processing
and prioritizing an immense influx of hitherto unavailable information.
Meanwhile, in the 21st Century, the fields of crisis management,
business continuity and disaster recovery are taking on a new
significance and a new urgency at all levels -- personal, organizational
and societal (or at least they should be). As I say in my Intelligence
Briefings, the 20th Century model for crisis management, business
continuity and disaster recovery was "something bad might happen someday
and if it does this is what we will do," but the 21st Century model
should be "multiple bad things will occur, quite possibly
simultaneously, and when they do, this is how we will adapt and respond."
Hurriance Katrina (2005) <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Katrina>
<http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_rYmyTznv1Xo/S7EETwzSYeI/AAAAAAAAAgE/ch2DbuLETQc/s1600/465px-Hurricane_Katrina_August_28_2005_NASA.jpg>
Consider Munich Re's <http://www.munichre.com/en/homepage/default.aspx>
annual report on the global impact of natural disasters.
The 2009 report
<http://www.munichre.com/en/media_relations/press_releases/2009/2009_12_29_press_release.aspx>
was heralded as "good news." The top ten 2009 events combined resulted
in less 10,000 deaths, and total economic losses were valued at only $50
billion (BTW, the USA was effected by four of the top ten events in
terms of economic losses); as contrasted with the 2008 report
<http://www.munichre.com/en/media_relations/press_releases/2008/2008_12_29_press_release.aspx>
which cited 220,000 deaths (200,000 in Cyclone Nargis and the Sichuan
Earthquake alone) and economic losses of approximately $200 billion. And
although 2009 was not as bad as 2008, the trend line since 1950, and
especially over the last decade, is on a steep curve. There is no
mystery to this increasing intensity. The planet's exploding population
coupled with the increasingly stressed infrastructures of the planet's
mega-cities; and yes, despite the vehement denialism of a dwindling few,
extreme weather brought on by the rapid acceleration of global climate
change is already having a major impact.
Sichuan Earthquake (2008)
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Sichuan_earthquake>
<http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_rYmyTznv1Xo/S7DpSeS7H_I/AAAAAAAAAdM/VH39acbm9Vk/s1600/705px-2008_Sichuan_earthquake_map_no_labels.jpg>
What do you think Munich Re's report for 2010 will look like?
It is only March, and we have already seen devastating earthquakes in
Haiti (over 200,000 dead and hundreds of thousands more homeless) and
the 8.8 magnitude quake in Chile, which plunged 93% of the country into
a prolonged blackout, and led to tsunami warnings in over 50 other nations.
But perhaps more to the point, what does it all mean to you personally,
to your loved ones, to to your enterprise, to your community, and to
your country?
The clearing of the rubble in Haiti will take 1,000 trucks 1,000 days.
The quake that hit Chile less than one month later shifted the earth's
axis
<http://www.aolnews.com/world/article/nasa-chile-quake-shifted-earths-axis-shortened-day/19378491>,
and shortened our day by 1.26 microseconds. (Likewise, the 2004 Indian
Ocean earthquake, also shifted the axis and shortened our day, by 6.8
microseconds.)
How much would an 8.8 earthquake shift the axis of your own individual
world? What would you do if your headquarters or your production center
were located in a disaster zone where it was projected it would take
1,000 trucks 1,000 days to clear the rubble
<http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Haitis_rubble_will_fill_1000_trucks_a_day_for_over_1000_days_999.html>?
What would the first twenty minutes of the aftermath look like for you?
What would the first twenty hours of the aftermath look like to you?
What about the first twenty days? Where would you begin? What have you
done to prepare in any way?
My personal interest in crisis management, business continuity and
disaster recovery has been on a steep arc of its own, since the late
1990s, when I started looking at the likely impact of climate change and
related sustainability crises on the overall risk and threat matrix for
business and government, and it become very personal after I directed a
24x7 response to the Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami for a global
enterprise of 100,000+ people in 100+ countries. (See A Corporate
Security Strategy for Coping with the Climate Crisis
<http://www.csoonline.com/article/451323/A_Corporate_Security_Strategy_for_Coping_with_the_Climate_Crisis>.)
So I was delighted to find myself in the front row at the NASA AMES
Convention Center for the launch of Carnegie Mellon Silicon Valley's
Disaster Management Initiative (DMI)
<http://www.cmu.edu/silicon-valley/dmi/>.
Martin Griss
<http://www.cmu.edu/silicon-valley/faculty-staff/griss-martin.html>,
Director of the Carnegie Mellon Silicon Valley
<http://www.cmu.edu/silicon-valley/> and the CyLab Mobility Research
Center <http://www.cylab.cmu.edu/research/center-mrc.html>, has a vision
of the DMI as a collaboration "to prepare the SF bay area for a
coordinated response to a major multi-jurisdictional incident, using
open technologies and software."
In articulating Carnegie Mellon's critical contributions to the DMI,
Griss stressed establishing relationships, submitting proposals and
managing grants, creating and launching collaborative events, and
participating in research into technical components of the DMI, such as
sensors, devices, communications infrastructure, situational models,
common operating picture, information reporting and sharing, system
testing, etc.
Numerous speakers from diverse organizations led segments of DMI workshop.
Mathhew Bettenhaunsen, Secretary of the California Emergency Management
Agency (CalEMA)
<http://www.calema.ca.gov/WebPage/oeswebsite.nsf/Content/AD39097DA15286FF88257350005375AD?OpenDocument>
gave a sobering keynote, admonishing those who have not taken personal
responsibility for preparing themselves, their families and their
organizations for the inevitable, and exhorting those present to make
haste in their efforts to developing the kind of coordinated, 21st
Century emergency response articulated by Griss.
David Oppenheimer, Chief of the Northern California Seismic Network
Earthquake Hazards Team of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
<http://quake.usgs.gov/>, spoke on an earthquake early warning system
being developed.
The system is based on hundreds of hundreds of monitoring stations
throughout the state, and is predicated on the span of a few seconds
between the p wave and the s wave of an oncoming earthquake
<http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=113877510>. In
that space, it is possible determine the location and the magnitude of
an earthquake.
Imagine what could be done with that few seconds (maybe as many as five
or ten seconds depending how far you are from the epicenter)? Could you
broadcast a warning within one second? Could you bring elevators and
trains to a safe stop? Could you provide for an orderly transition in
air traffic control? What else could you do? Yes, like much of what was
explored in the DMI workshop, this extraordinary capability brings both
opportunities and challenges.
Pacific Ring of Fire <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_Ring_of_Fire>
<http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_rYmyTznv1Xo/S7DoOMGwOgI/AAAAAAAAAcs/VtTepFBWylc/s1600/796px-Pacific_Ring_of_Fire.jpg>
Xavier j. Irias, Director of Engineering and Construction for East Bay
Municipal Utility District (EBMUD) <http://www.ebmud.com/> spoke on how
his critical infrastructure provider is coming to grips with the inevitable.
Imagine having to develop a crisis management, business continuity and
disaster recovery strategy for an entity consisting of four thousand
miles of pipe, thirty dams, four hundred major facilities, and serving
over four million people. Oh yes, and "everything has been placed right
along the fault," Irias remarked, "to make it easy to find," and
anything not built along a fault line has been situation in "a
liquefaction zone."
"There is not a single facility immune to damage," he added.
Seismic Modeling is not enough, Irias observed, to be truly useful,
model results must be integrated with real-time field data; so EBMUD is
using USGS's open-source Shakecast
<http://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/software/shakecast/> together with
its own open source disaster management application Marconi in an open
technology approach to enhancing the Common Operating Picture; and it is
this Common Operating Picture that enable a prompt and appropriate response.
"Shakecast and Marconi integration exemplifies the [open technology]
concept," Irias said, "both are freely available and applicable worldwide."
Let's say an earthquake hits at 3 a.m., and by 3:30 a.m., key personnel
arrive at their district operation centers. Within an hour, the sites to
be inspected can be prioritized based on the information available
through Shakecast and Marconi, and by 5:00 a.m., the highest priority
inspections could be completed.
Loma Prieta Earthquake (1989)
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1989_Loma_Prieta_earthquake>
<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_rYmyTznv1Xo/S7EEdqagShI/AAAAAAAAAgU/mlrVT5WgVSw/s1600/1989.jpg>
Robert Dolci, Chief of Protective Services and Director of Emergency
Services for NASA AMES <http://pso.arc.nasa.gov/>, spoke on the daunting
challenges that will confront the Next Generation Emergency Operations
Center (EOC).
"Let's assume a regional Joint Operations Command (JOC) staffed with
local, state and federal personnel, and assume the worst case scenario,
e.g., 7.8 earthquake on the Hayward fault ..." This JOC EOC would be
interfating with the EOCs of nine counties, forty-five cities, two
hundred and fifty corporations, different State entities, thousands of
incident command posts, ten commodity distribution centers, hundreds of
shelters ... plus, at the Federal level, F.E.M.A., DoJ, DHS, DoD, DoT,
GSA and "at least ten other agencies," ... plus emergency response teams
from other states, volunteers from non-profits and faith-based
organizations like the Red Cross and the Salvation Army, hospitals, news
media (both local and national), and of course, the general public, and
all of them reporting and making requests in real-time.
"From strategic level, the regional JOC/EOC of the future will need to
be aware of all significant events, effectively gather and disseminate
information, effectively communicate across all levels, etc. ... as many
as five thousand command elements will be reporting up to and requesting
support from that regional JOC/EOC ... There will have to be food,
shelter, etc. for the responders, as well as the populace ...
Like the other presenters, Dolci emphasized the need for open technology
approaches to enhancing the Common Operating Picture.
"If the next generation JOC/EOC cannot keep up with it all," he quipped,
it will be a disaster."
Cyclone Nargis (2008) <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Nargis>
<http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_rYmyTznv1Xo/S7EFHnB67GI/AAAAAAAAAgc/TSp-DstqirI/s1600/nargis_tmo_2008122_lrg-2.jpg>
Eric Rasmussen <http://instedd.org/executiveteam>, CEO of InSTEDD
<http://instedd.org/> also spoke. InSTEDD is an innovation lab and
capacity building resource, which is working with governments and NGOs
in crisis areas from Haiti to the Mekong Delta.
Rasmussen spoke on some of the "free and open source" technologies his
team has developed to empower "seamless and reliable collaboration" in
the field:
*Geochat:*"A unified mobile communications service designed specifically
to enable self-organizing group communications in the developing world.
The service lets mobile phone users broadcast location-based alerts,
report on their situation, and coordinate around events as they unfold,
linking field, headquarters, and the local community in a real-time,
interactive conversation visualized on the surface of a map."
*Riff:*"An interactive decision support environment that combines the
power of virtual teams of human experts and advanced analytic,
machine-learning, and visualization services to allow its users to
collaborate around streams of information to detect, characterize, and
respond sooner to emerging events."
*Mesh4X:*"An adaptive data integration platform designed to break down
barriers to information flow, allowing organizations and individuals to
share awareness reliably, selectively, and securely, with anyone, using
any device, from any database, over any network. Using Mesh4x, every
user knows what every other user knows. When a disaster relief worker
notes in a spreadsheet that beds are available in a local shelter, that
piece of information is automatically synchronized to all of the
different websites, PDAs, databases, and maps of every organization
cooperating in the response."
*Nuntium:* A messaging flow management system that "allows applications
to send and receive all type of messages," e.g., sms, emails and twitter
direct messages.
Carnegie Mellon Silicon Valley's impressive list DMI collaborators includes:
NASA <http://www.nasa.gov/>
Golden Gate Safety Network and MapLab
<http://www.maplab.org/ggsn/>
We have established a partnership with
California Emergency Management Agency (Cal-EMA) <http://www.oes.ca.gov/>
TWiki, Inc. <http://twiki.net/>
Wireless Communications Alliance (WCA) <http://wca.org/> and the WCA's
emergency Communications Leadership & Innovation Center (eCLIC)
<http://www.wca.org/sig/eclic>
Clearwire <http://www.clearwire.com/>
NASA Ames Research Center Disaster Assistance and Rescue Team (DART)
<http://dart.arc.nasa.gov/>
UNISYS <http://www.unisys.com/unisys/>
Airship Earth Corporation (AEC)
<http://researchpark.arc.nasa.gov/Partners/nonProfit.html>
TechNet <http://www.technet.org/>
To the deepen the experience of the participants, Carnegie Mellon
Silicon Valley followed up the DMI Workshop with a weekend-long Crisis
Camp <http://www.cmu.edu/silicon-valley/dmi/crisiscamp/index.html>
Stay tuned for more news of this compelling initiative as it progresses.
Krakatoa (1883) <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krakatoa>
<http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_rYmyTznv1Xo/S7Dop08O3OI/AAAAAAAAAc8/Xpt0MOFnJ-k/s1600/471px-Krakatoa_eruption_lithograph-1.jpg>
--
Rex Brooks
President, CEO
Starbourne Communications Design
GeoAddress: 1361-A Addison
Berkeley, CA 94702
Tel: 510-898-0670
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